Wednesday, February 5, 2014

Regional Trends: What Buyers Want Most—and Get

Median-price purchasers don't expect kitchens fit for food stars, trickling waterfalls, or fire pits. But they dream, too, and here's what's on their wish lists.
Sales are robust again in many markets across the country, with the national median existing-home price topping $196,300 in November, up 9.4 percent from a year earlier, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. But a single bold-faced dollar amount has only limited usefulness for real estate practitioners and consumers given the wide variation in job markets, housing inventory, and sales trends.
Also varying by market is what buyers tend to seek in square footage, room types, and outdoor living space. Specific tastes in room features and layouts are affected greatly by region, climate, lifestyle, and architectural traditions.
To better understand these localized trends, we asked REALTORS® from four markets across the country to share a recent median-priced listing and describe how it reflects local buyer preferences.

Des Moines,Wash.

Median price: $245,000 (Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue market, $354,700 median, +15.9% from 2012)
Desired features: Good condition, two-story or ranch plan, about 1,700 square feet, updated bathrooms, deck, natural gas for barbecue.
Buyer turnoffs: Fixer-uppers, overpricing.
Best marketing tools: A listing launch with an open house preview for neighbors to bring in as many as possible in initial blitz; professional photos appeal to all buyers; listing’s own website to measure traffic online.
For $100,000 more: Partial view of Puget Sound or Olympic mountains, fourth bedroom, updated kitchen, basement, bigger footprint.
Prices in Des Moines (population: 29,000) saw double-digit gains in 2013 but are still well below the $354,700 median for the Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue area. Des Moines has seen a housing shortage for the last year and a half. The prime reasons, says Tony Hettler, crb, broker-owner with John L. Scott Real Estate’s Des Moines office, are sellers who are waiting for prices to rise further before they list and pent-up demand from young couples seeking affordable homes near the water or mountains.
This listing: This bank-owned 1,890-square-foot house, built in 1990, sold in less than three weeks last July for $13,100 more than its $207,900 listing price. Hettler credits the realistic price, prime condition, new appliances, gas furnace, roof, three bedrooms, and convenient location between Seattle and Tacoma, the state’s biggest cities.

Jacksonville, Fla.

Median price: $170,600 (+29.3% from 2012)
Desired features: Hardwood floors, high ceilings, walk-in closets in master bedroom, a pool.
Buyer turnoffs: No second bathroom, either no garage or just a single-car garage.
Best marketing tools: Listing sites, social media, and YouTube, since many home shoppers in this price range (from ages 20 to 60) use smartphones to pull up images and information. Providing educational information is particularly helpful for explaining prequalification guidelines to first-time buyers, says Karen Wentz, GRI, with Prudential Network Realty Wentz—and for getting the word out that owning can cost less than renting.
For $100,000 more: Updated kitchen and bathrooms, fourth bedroom, three-car garage, bonus room, outdoor living space with kitchen.
Sales are heading up, along with prices, in northern Florida where the median price was $145,500 in 2012. The inventory is shrinking due to first-time home buyers landing jobs at three local military bases. Investors are also scooping up “anything under $200,000,” says Wentz. In fact, most comparably priced houses sell within 30 days. But she urges a dose of realism: “Many first-timers may have to accept some outdated features, and sellers may need to pay all or part of closing costs. Buyers remain cash poor.”
This listing: This 1993 brick and HardiPlank-sided, two-story, 1,734-square-foot home with three bedrooms and two-and-a-half bathrooms was listed in August and went under contract six days later. Although its kitchen had dated cabinets and appliances, Wentz thinks the $195,000 price provided the magic bullet.

Minneapolis-St. Paul

Median price: $208,000 (+14.5% from 2012)
Desired features: Updated kitchen, three good-sized bedrooms, two bathrooms, basement, central air.
Buyer turnoffs: Smaller living room, no dining room, no attached garage.
Best marketing tools: Jason Walgrave, GRI, of RE/MAX Advantage Plus, hosts a weekly AM radio show, “Minnesota Home Talk.” He has found radio advertising successful, and it’s no wonder: According to Minnesota Public Radio, Minnesota 
has the largest radio-listening audiences in the country.
For $100,000 more: More upgrades, bigger closets, larger foundation.
Prices climbed 15 percent in 2013 as inventory dwindled in the Twin Cities, particularly among foreclosures. Yet, prices remain down from the 2007 peak. One of the most eager groups of -buyers is twenty-something singles who like city living, says Walgrave.
This listing: This one-and-a-half-story, 1951 house on a typical small city lot was listed in July at $200,000 and went under active contract quickly despite having only one bathroom. Walgrave thinks its three bedrooms, two-car garage, central air conditioning, hardwood floors, and two fireplaces more than compensated, as did his explanation that a second bathroom could be added affordably on the lower level.

Warwick, R.I.

Median price: $241,400 (median is for Providence, R.I New Bedford-Fall River, Mass., +10.3% from 2012)
Desired features: Good kitchen, less than one-quarter-acre lot, modest taxes.
Buyer turnoffs: Airport noise, small yards.
Best marketing tools: Full-motion video tours for first-time buyers so they can confirm their online findings. Bill Fooks, CRB, of Coldwell Banker also says rapidly responding to calls and e-mails is important. If buyers can’t see a listing “in a timely fashion”—24 hours or less—they’ll go after another house, he says.
For $100,000 more: Newer house (built after 1980), 1,700 square feet, two full bathrooms.
The Warwick area, near Providence, has seen prices remain level of late, after an upward tick last spring, a slow start in September and October, and a little improvement in November, says Bill Fooks, crb, of Coldwell Banker. But the overall climate is tough with the state’s unemployment rate the second highest in the country, affected by a loss of population and high taxes, he says. Most buyers are people under age 50 who are finding employment at area colleges and universities, tech start-ups, and service industries such as banks.
This listing: This listing reflects the difficulty of the market: It’s described as in top condition—a 10 on a scale of 1 to 10—and priced fairly, yet hasn’t generated offers. Built in 1955, the single-level house was listed in September at $164,900 with three bedrooms, one full bathroom, hardwood and ceramic floors, a full basement, central air, a dining area, a “great kitchen,” a neat yard, and close proximity to public transportation and shopping. ”It’s had numerous showings. Its drawback is that it is a narrow lot, and the house was built with the gable end toward the road,” Fooks says. To compensate, he priced it under $170,000, rather than in the mid-$170,000s, which a different yard and orientation might have commanded.
Editor’s note: Median home prices are based on NAR’s third-quarter 2013 data.
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Clear Capital Pops Housing Bubble Fears

Though home prices are projected to grow at a 3 percent to 5 percent appreciation rate, economists at Clear Capital are saying there should be no worries about a housing bubble brewing any time soon. In fact, according to Clear Capital’s Home Data Index, if home appreciation continues at its current pace, prices may not return to peak levels until 2021.
The National Association of REALTORS® reported in its December existing-home sales report that home prices rose 11.5 percent in 2013 compared to 2012. That marked the strongest gain since 2005, when median prices for existing homes rose 12.4 percent.
Following the double-digit growth in home prices last year, Clear Capital economists predict that national home prices will now fall into line with inflation and follow more historical rates of growth.
“Double-digit gains over the last year, while similar to rates of growth in the run-up to the bubble, are off a much lower price floor,” says Alex Villacorta, vice president of research and analytics at Clear Capital.
However, Villacorta did note that Phoenix and Las Vegas are showing signs of overheating and should be watched closely. Both markets saw yearly gains around 30 percent, but home prices have since been cooling. Home prices in Las Vegas remain 20.8 percent below 2000 levels when adjusted for inflation, but prices in Phoenix are about 1.9 percent above 2000 levels, according to Clear Capital.
Home prices at the metro level, when adjusted for inflation, reveal 46 out of 50 metro markets have home price levels that are at pre-2003 levels. Twenty-five of 50 markets are reporting prices below 2000 levels.
"With the majority of metro markets still so far below peak prices, it’s time for conversations surrounding price trends to shift away from the 2006 peak as the point of reference, and back to current trends and forecasts," says Villacorta. "While there are certainly investors and home owners holding real estate assets that will be underwater for seven years or more, the current housing market is positioned to behave very similar or even below historical norms, given the current economic climate.”
Source: “Home Prices Won’t Return to Peak Levels Until When?” HousingWire (Feb. 3, 2014)

Friday, January 31, 2014

January 2014 US Housing Trends

Angela Yglesias

Levesque Realty 

Cell: 805-490-4944   
Phone: 805-490-4944 

Housing Trends

Jan2014


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National market update

Pending Home Sales Edge Up in November

WASHINGTON (December 30, 2013) – Pending home sales stabilized in November with a slight gain, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Monthly increases in the South and West offset declines in the Northeast and Midwest.

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December Existing-Home Sales Rise, 2013 Strongest in Seven Years

WASHINGTON (January 23, 2014) – Existing-home sales edged up in December, sales for all of 2013 were the highest since 2006, and median prices maintained strong growth, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

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National housing indicators

Existing home sales (December)

4.87*

Existing home median price (December)

$197,100

Housing Starts (December)

999000*

New home sales (December)

474000*
*Seasonally adjusted annual rate. Source: NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®.

National economic indicators

Home ownership

3rd Qtr 2012

65.5%

3rd Qtr 2013

65.3%
The homeownership rate in the third quarter 2013 was 65.3 percent, down 0.2 (+/- 0.4)* percentage points from the third quarter 2012 rate of 65.5 percent. The homeownership rates in the Northeast, Midwest, South, and West were not statistically different from the rates a year ago.

New home sales

October 2013

+17.6%

November 2013

-2.1%
Sales of new single-family houses in November 2013 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 464,000. This is 2.1 percent (+/- 21.3%)* below the revised October 2013 estimate of 474,000.
Source: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU

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Regional market updates

View market statistics for your region.

Click on the links below to view data from two different industry sources. Choose information on local prices & state sales from any of 150 metropolitan housing markets prepared by the National Association of REALTORS® or information on sales & price activity from local area markets in 25 states prepared by Clarus MarketMetrics.

Representing residential and commercial buyers and sellers in Ventura and LA Counties.
Buying is now cheaper than renting in 74 percent of the nation’s largest cities. Low home prices and “rock-bottom” interest rates as well as tax advantages of homeownership are the reasons why it’s now cheaper to BUY a 2-bdrm home than to rent one. Check out this CNN Money article with the details. Read more
Home Ownership matters…to people, to communities, and to America. Why? • For every two homes sold, one job is created in the U.S. • Each purchase generates as much as $60,000 in economic activity over time. Read more
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Existing home statistics: June 2013

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Thursday, January 23, 2014

Mortgage Applications Continue Rise as Rates Fall

Source:  Yahoo! Finance
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) released its weekly report on mortgage applications Wednesday morning, noting a increase of 4.7% in the group's seasonally adjusted composite index. The seasonally adjusted purchase index increased by 4.00% from the prior week's report.
On an unadjusted basis, the composite index increased by 7.0% week-over-week. The unadjusted purchase index increased by 2.0% for the week, but it is 15% lower year-over-year.
The MBA's refinance index increased by 10%, and the share of refinancings rose by two points to 64% of all applications. Adjustable rate mortgage loans accounted for 7.0% of all applications, down from 8.0% the prior week.
The average mortgage loan rate for a conforming 30-year fixed-rate mortgage decreased from 4.66% to 4.58%, the lowest level since November 2013. The rate for a jumbo 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell from 4.58% to 4.57%. The average interest rate for a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage fell from 3.72% to 3.68%.
The contract interest rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage loan decreased from 3.28% to 3.23%, the lowest level since December 2013.
The drop in interest rates in the past two weeks are in contrast with the recent trend of rising rates since November. Mortgage applications fell to their lowest level since December 2000 at the end of 2013, following the announcement by the U.S. Federal Reserve that it would begin tapering its $85 billion per month bond-buying program.
This turnaround in purchase applications could signal a strong spring season for the housing market.

Realtor in Thousand Oaks, Conejo Valley

I help people selling their homes get them sold quickly and almost always at 100% asking, even over in some markets. I save my real estate b...