Wednesday, August 12, 2015

2nd Qtr 2015 Housing Affordability Report

Growth in spring home prices leads to sizable drop in California housing affordability, C.A.R. reports

Every region except Kings County posts lower affordability compared to previous quarter.

• Thirty percent of California households could afford to purchase the $485,100 median-priced home in the second quarter, down from 34 percent in first-quarter 2015 and unchanged from 30 percent in second quarter 2014.

• A minimum annual income of $95,980 was needed to make monthly payments of $2,400, including principal, interest, and taxes on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 3.95 percent interest rate.

• Thirty-nine percent of home buyers were able to purchase the $388,250 median-priced condo or townhome. An annual income of $76,820 was required to make a monthly payment of $1,920.
LOS ANGELES (Aug. 11) – A sharp increase in spring housing demand elevated home prices to levels last seen in late 2007 and reduced California’s housing affordability considerably in the second quarter, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today. The second-quarter 2015 drop in housing affordability follows two straight quarters of improvements for the state.

The percentage of home buyers who could afford to purchase a median-priced, existing single-family home in California in second-quarter 2015 fell to 30 percent from the 34 percent recorded in the first quarter of 2015 and flat from the 30 percent in the second quarter a year ago, according to C.A.R.’s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI). California’s housing affordability index hit a peak of 56 percent in the second quarter of 2012.

C.A.R.’s HAI measures the percentage of all households that can afford to purchase a median-priced, single-family home in California.  C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties within the state.  The Index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for home buyers in the state.

Home buyers needed to earn a minimum annual income of $95,980 to qualify for the purchase of a $485,100 statewide median-priced, existing single-family home in the second quarter of 2015.  The monthly payment, including taxes and insurance on a 30-year, fixed-rate loan, would be $2,400, assuming a 20 percent down payment and an effective composite interest rate of 3.95 percent.

The median home price was $441,610 in first-quarter 2015, and an annual income of $87,540 was needed to purchase a home at that price. The effective composite interest rate in second-quarter 2015 was 3.97 percent.

Key points from the second-quarter 2015 Housing Affordability report include:

• Condominiums and townhomes were more affordable than single-family homes, with 39 percent of home buyers able to purchase the $388,250 median-priced condo or townhome. An annual income of $76,820 was required to make a monthly payment of $1,920.

• Compared to the previous quarter, housing affordability declined in every region except Kings County, which held steady, primarily driven by growth in spring home prices.

• Compared to the previous year, housing affordability improved in five regions (Marin, Orange, Monterey, San Luis Obispo, and Santa Cruz) and held steady in four regions (Alameda, Santa Clara, Los Angeles, and Placer).

• The remaining 19 regions (Contra Costa, Napa, San Francisco, San Mateo, Solano, Sonoma, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego, Ventura, Santa Barbara, Fresno, Kings, Madera, Merced, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Stanislaus, and Tulare) saw declines in housing affordability from the previous year.

• In the Bay Area, Marin, San Luis Obispo, and Santa Cruz counties posted the largest year-to-year improvement in affordability mainly due to growth in annual household income and lower interest rates. San Luis Obispo and Santa Cruz, in particular, experienced a large increase in incomes relative to price changes. Tech workers may have migrated to Santa Cruz due to its affordability and relative proximity to San Jose and Bay Area.

Housing Affordability slides (click link to open)
Affordability peak versus current
Annual income peak versus current
PITI peak versus current

CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index

C.A.R. RegionHousing
Affordability Index
Median Home
Price
Monthly Payment Including Taxes & InsuranceMinimum
Qualifying Income
CA SFH (SAAR)30 $           485,100 $               2,400 $             95,980
CA Condo/Townhomes39 $           388,250 $               1,920 $             76,820
Los Angeles Metropolitan Area32 $           440,620 $               2,180 $             87,180
Inland Empire46 $           291,730 $               1,440 $             57,720
S.F. Bay Area20 $           841,560 $               4,160 $           166,500
US57 $           229,400 $               1,130 $             45,390
     
S.F. Bay Area    
Alameda18 $           812,810 $               4,020 $           160,820
Contra-Costa (Central County)18 $           836,020 $               4,140 $           165,410
Marin17 $       1,169,900 $               5,790 $           231,470
Napa23 $           623,970 $               3,090 $           123,450
San Francisco10 $       1,353,450 $               6,690 $           267,780
San Mateo13 $       1,300,000 $               6,430 $           257,210
Santa Clara19 $           980,000 $               4,850 $           193,890
Solano46 $           352,850 $               1,750 $             69,810
Sonoma25 $           566,980 $               2,800 $           112,180
Southern California    
Los Angeles30 $           445,190 $               2,200 $             88,080
Orange County21 $           713,220 $               3,530 $           141,110
Riverside County40 $           334,580 $               1,650 $             66,200
San Bernardino56 $           223,830 $               1,110 $             44,290
San Diego25 $           547,840 $               2,710 $           108,390
Ventura25 $           619,060 $               3,060 $           122,480
Central Coast    
Monterey27 $           480,000 $               2,370 $             94,970
San Luis Obispo28 $           518,550 $               2,560 $           102,600
Santa Barbara16 $           741,570 $               3,670 $           146,720
Santa Cruz20 $           727,250 $               3,600 $           143,890
Central Valley    
Fresno50 $           219,030 $               1,080 $             43,340
Kings County62 $           186,330 $                   920 $             36,870
Madera50 $           216,430 $               1,070 $             42,820
Merced55 $           205,060 $               1,010 $             40,570
Placer County44 $           399,680 $               1,980 $             79,080
Sacramento47 $           291,030 $               1,440 $             57,580
San Joaquin37 $           285,810 $               1,410 $             56,550
Stanislaus41 $           246,480 $               1,220 $             48,770
Tulare54 $           190,740 $                   940 $             37,740

CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index

STATE/REGION/COUNTYQ2 2015Q1 2015 Q2 2014 
CA SFH (SAAR)3034 30 
CA Condo/Townhomes3941 38 
Los Angeles Metropolitan Area3235 33 
Inland Empire4647 47 
S.F. Bay Area2023 20 
US5761 57 
      
S.F. Bay Area     
Alameda1823 18 
Contra-Costa (Central County)1821 19 
Marin1719 14 
Napa2334 25 
San Francisco1012 10 
San Mateo1314 14 
Santa Clara1922 19 
Solano4648 50 
Sonoma2531 29 
Southern California     
Los Angeles3031 30 
Orange County2122 20 
Riverside County4042 41 
San Bernardino5658 58 
San Diego2528 26 
Ventura2528 28 
Central Coast     
Monterey2729 26 
San Luis Obispo2830 23 
Santa Barbara1618 18 
Santa Cruz2022 18 
Central Valley     
Fresno5051 53 
Kings County6262 64 
Madera5051 55r
Merced5560 57 
Placer County4446 44 
Sacramento4749 48 
San Joaquin3739 40-
Stanislaus4143 45-
Tulare5457 56 

See C.A.R.’s historical housing affordability data.
See first-time buyer housing affordability data.
Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than 175,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

Monday, August 3, 2015

Here Come The Millionaires

The United States, United Kingdom, Singapore, and Australia are experiencing an influx of millionaires, according to a report from New World Health, which in conjunction with LIO Global, completed a review of worldwide millionaire migration patterns.

The report compared the principal location of about 60,000 global high-net worth individuals in 2000 with the same sample in 2014. "Millionaires" were defined as "high-net worth individuals" with net assets of $1 million or more (it excluded primary residences).
Read more: Foreign Buyers Spend More on U.S. Real Estate
The United Kingdom had the highest number of high net worth individuals immigrating from abroad. The majority are coming from Europe, Russia, China, India, the Middle East, and Africa.
More high-net worth individuals are also coming to the United States, notably from China as well as the United Kingdom, India, and Russia.

"Wealthy people in emerging markets such as China and India want their children to grow up and go to school in the U.K., U.S.A., etc.," says Andrew Amolis, head of research at New World Wealth, about the study's findings.

Also seeing more millionaires move there, Singapore is also receiving one of the highest migrations of high-net worth individuals, particularly from China, India and Indonesia, while Australia also is seeing its numbers rise from India, China, Indonesia, and the United Kingdom and South Africa.

Source: "Millionaires Migrating to U.K., U.S., Singapore, and Australia, Report Says," Forbes.com (Aug. 2, 2015)

Realtor in Thousand Oaks, Conejo Valley

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