Thursday, December 15, 2016

Is the Starter Home Coming Back?

Starter homes were largely viewed as a dying fad, but millennials are showing renewed interest. They believe the starter home may help turn them into a homeowner more quickly.
Six in 10 millennials recently surveyed by Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices expressed an interest in purchasing a starter home, seeking a place that may require some TLC and that they could fix up over time. Such homes tend to be more affordable and may offer them the ability to build credit and become a homeowner sooner, the company’s latest Homeowner Sentiment Survey reveals.
Millennials say the top reason they’re staying on the fence in moving forward on a home purchase is because they’re struggling to save to buy their dream home. Of those holding out for their dream home, half of respondents cited the desire to go through the home-buying process only one and 37 percent said they don’t want the hassles of renovating an older home.
But others are giving a second look to homes that may require a little more work.
“Starter homes can provide first-time buyers with independence and an attainable investment,” says Gino Blefari, CEO of Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices. “The process of buying one – while never easy – may not be as difficult as it’s perceived it to be.”
Overall, current and prospective homeowners -- particularly millennials -- are growing more optimistic about the direction of the housing market, but they are expressing some concerns too, Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices’ latest Homeowner Sentiment Survey shows.
Sixty-six percent of current homeowners and 63 percent of prospective home buyers say they view the real estate market favorably. Millennials, ages 18 to 34, were the most optimistic generation with a 74 percent favorable view of the real estate market, the survey showed.
Still, while sentiment is high, consumers expressed some concerns, most notably about the direction of mortgage rates and how upticks may impact their ability to buy a home. Seventy-six percent of current homeowners and 79 percent of prospective homeowners cite increasing interest rates as a chief challenge affecting today’s housing market. Furthermore, 44 percent of homeowners and 70 percent of prospective buyers say they would feel anxious if mortgage rates were to rise. A majority of respondents said higher mortgage rates would make it difficult for them to buy a home.
“People feel good about real estate because housing is doing well in many markets across America,” says Gino Blefari, CEO of Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices. “Although the idea of a rate hike can grab headlines and initially create some unease, it’s important to remember rate increases are often the mark of an improving, healthy U.S. economy. That is the case today.”

Monday, December 12, 2016

November 2016 National Housing Trends eNewsletter

Angela Yglesias

Levesque Realty 

Cell: 805-490-4944   
Phone: 805-490-4944 

Housing Trends

November 2016

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National market update

Existing-Home Sales Jump Again in October

WASHINGTON (November 22, 2016) — Existing-home sales ascended in October for the second straight month and eclipsed June's cyclical sales peak to become the highest annualized pace in nearly a decade, according to the National Association of Realtors®. All major regions saw monthly and annual sales increases in October.



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The 5 Real Estate Trends That Will Shape 2017

We won’t pretend to know everything that 2017 will bring—heck, 2016 sure surprised us—but we’re pretty certain there will be changes. A lot of them. And while the surprise triumph of Donald Trump in the presidential election won’t alter the fundamentals shaping the 2017 real estate market, its impact is already being felt.



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National housing indicators

Existing home sales (Oct)

5.60 millions units*

Existing home median price (Oct )

$232,200

Housing Starts (Oct)

1.323 millions units*

New home sales (Sept)

0.593 millions units*
*Seasonally adjusted annual rate. Source: NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®.

National economic indicators

Home ownership

3rd Quarter 2016

+63.5%

3rd Quarter 2015

+63.7%
The homeownership rate of 63.5 percent was not statistically different from the third quarter 2015 rate (63.7 percent) and 0.6 percentage points (+/-0.4)* high than the second quarter 2016 rate(62.9 percent).

New home sales

Oct 2016

-1.9%

Sept 2016

+3.1%
Sales of new single-family houses in October 2016 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 563,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 1.9 percent (±13.1%)* below the revised September rate of 574,000, but is 17.8 percent (±16.9%) above the October 2015 estimate of 478,000.
Source: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU

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Existing Home Statistics

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Sunday, December 11, 2016

Why Home Flippers Are Nervous

The percentage of homes flipped in the third quarter dropped to 5.1 percent of single-family and condo sales or 45,718 homes, a new report released by ATTOM Data Solutions shows. The number of homes flipped is receding from a six-year high of 53,892 homes reached in the previous quarter. The report defines a home flip as a property that is sold for the second time within a 12-month period. ATTOM Data Solutions used publicly recorded sales deed data in more than 950 counties for its report.
“While the macro trends of low housing inventory and rising home prices are favorable for flippers, they are also a double-edged sword, attracting more competition and reducing the availability of deals — particularly in the most fundamentally sound local markets,” says Daren Blomquist. “This is chasing some investors into markets and neighborhoods that may be less fundamentally sound but also offer more value-add opportunities for flippers in the form of aging housing inventory.”
Homes flipped in the third quarter sold, on average, for $190,000. The average gross flipping profit was $60,900 more than the average purchase price of $129,200, the report shows. The average gross flipping return on investment was 47.1 percent of the purchase price, down slightly from 47.9 percent a year ago. But those numbers don't reflect pure profit, Blomquist cautions. 
“While the high-level gross flipping profits are impressive, it’s important to note that they do not include all the costs incurred by flippers, including rehab, financing, property taxes and other carrying costs,” he says. “It’s also important to note that the overall averages mask the fact that not every flip ends profitably for the investor. About 8 percent of the homes flipped in the third quarter actually sold for less than what the flipper purchased them for, and about 21 percent of the flips yielded a gross flipping ROI below 10 percent — likely meaning the flipper walked away with a net loss on the deal.”
The metro areas seeing the highest rates of home flipping are:
  • Memphis: 11%
  • Clarksville, Tenn.: 9.5%
  • Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, Fla.: 9.3%
  • Tampa-St. Petersburg, Fla.: 9.3%
  • Visalia-Porterville, Calif.: 9.3%
  • York Hanover, Pa.: 9.2%
  • Lakeland-Winter Haven, Fla.: 9%
  • Fresno, Calif.: 8.7%
  • Miami: 8.6%
  • Las Vegas: 8.2%
Source: RealtyTrac

Saturday, December 10, 2016

Easy Property Upgrades to Conserve Water

Many states are facing a drought, and home owners and renters are increasingly under pressure to conserve.
“Often we’re bombarded with a message of sacrifice and cutting back,” says Benjamin Inskeep, a research analyst at EQ Research, who helped compile “The Water Short List,” a report highlighting conservation ideas. “One of the conclusions of our paper was that simple, out-of-sight and out-of-mind [actions] offer a huge opportunity to reduce your resource consumption.”
Here are a few water-saving ideas from the report that you can recommend to clients:
Swap out the shower head: Did you know showers account for 20 percent of water consumed in a household? The average American household uses up to 30 gallons a day for showers, according to the Water Research Foundation. But WaterSense-labeled shower heads, claim to use less than 2 million gallons a minute, which means switching to one could help save a whopping 2,900 gallons a year. 
Tips for Your Listings
Retrofit faucets: Kitchen and bathroom faucets are another big culprit of household water use, accounting for about 19 percent of indoor water use. Due to new federal requirements, contemporary models limit usage to 2.2 gallons per minute, compared to the 2.75 to 7 gallons of water per minute used by many older faucets. Homeowners who aren't ready to replace can retrofit an older faucet with an aerator, an insert that mixes air with water to control the stream and conserve water.
Upgrade appliances: Washing machines built prior to 2003 tend to use much higher levels of water per load than newer models. The Energy Star website asserts that a standard clothes washer more than 10 years old costs home owners an average of $210 a year.
Curb outdoor irrigation: Inskeep says that for some families, especially those watering large lawns in arid climates, outdoor water use can make up the majority of the household's water use. Set up a backyard rainwater collection system or plant a “water-wise garden” of native species that are well-equipped for the local climate.
Source: “Water Conservation at Home: 6 Easy Steps to Help You Save,” Curbed.com (Dec. 8, 2016)

Thursday, December 8, 2016

Holiday Décor Tips and Tricks for Sellers

Some home sellers use the holidays to showcase the warmth and character of their home to potential buyers. But they need to be careful not to cover up their home’s finest attributes with their festivity.
A recent article at Houzz provides some of the following tips for holiday decorating when your home is for sale:
Watch the size of the decorations. Displaying large multipiece holiday decorations on your fireplace, for example, may cover up this important selling feature. Ask yourself: Does this piece positive showcase the space, light, and charm of the room? Or does its large size distract from it? This includes the Christmas tree. Owners may want to choose a smaller size when they’re selling because larger trees and decorations can make a room appear smaller, notes Houzz columnist Neila Deen.
Don’t block the light. Make sure the holiday décor doesn’t cover up any natural light from windows and doors. Sure, owners love to display their Christmas trees in front of windows so you can see it from the outside. But they need to realize that they could be covering up a picturesque window as well as making a room appear darker. Instead, place the tree far away from the window so that it isn’t blocking any natural light from flowing in.
Coordinate colors. Keep the holiday décor in line with the room’s overall color-coordinated design. If the holiday decorations clash with a current color scheme, don’t use them. Metallics – gold, silver, or copper -- are a good way to add holiday décor accents without fears of clashing. White also can be a good choice. Consider swapping out multicolored tree lights with sparkling white lights for a more elegant choice, Deen notes. 

Tuesday, December 6, 2016

The Suburbs Are Having a Moment

America largely remains a suburban nation. Younger generations threatened to change that, with many expressing a greater desire to live in urban locations, but their numbers lately are showing a shift to the suburbs.
The suburbs are outstripping downtowns in overall population growth, diversity, and younger residents, according to a new study of population trends and housing by the Urban Land Institute’s Terwilliger Center for Housing.
Seventy-nine percent of the population in the 50 largest metros live in suburban areas. From 2000 to 2015, suburban areas accounted for 91 percent of the population growth and 84 percent of the household growth, the study shows. What’s more, three-quarters of people age 25 to 34 in those metro areas are opting to live in the suburbs.
The main motivators that have traditionally sent people packing to the suburbs are still high priorities today: Lower-cost of housing and proximity to jobs. In 2014, about two-thirds of jobs in the 50 largest metros were located in the suburbs.
The study’s findings, however, also note several challenges ahead for suburbs as they face swelling populations. For example, researchers note that city officials will need to evaluate how they provide services such as public transportation in less-affluent suburban areas, particularly as more people become spread out and the fact that there are less established nonprofit bases in the suburbs than urban areas.
Source: “Evolving U.S. Suburbs Continue to Shape Residential Demand and Development,” Urban Land Institute (Dec. 5, 2016) and “Suburbs Outstrip Cities in Population Growth, Study Finds,” The Wall Street Journal (Dec. 5, 2016) [Log-in required]

Friday, December 2, 2016

Buyers' Secret Must-Have: A Snore Room

One in four couples admit to sleeping in separate rooms. And snoring may be a big reason keeping couples apart at night.
Snoring gets common – and maybe louder – as people age too. Thirty percent of people over the age 30 snore, 40 percent over the age of 40 snore, and by age 60, 60 percent of men snore and 40 percent of women, according to the Statistics Brain Research Institute.
Architect Deryl Patterson at Housing Design Matters writes in a column at BUILDER about how homebuilders should look at how to discreetly market to the 55-plus buyer that they can sleep separately from their partner with a snore and more room. It can be done by adding rooms off the master bedroom that look like a den during the day, but can be closed off and then can offer sanctuary to a snoring mate at night. Dual master suites may be another solution, which also has the added bonus of “no more arguing over closet space or the toilet seat being left up or down,” Patterson notes.
Snoring isn’t the only reason couples may like a flexible room to send their spouse to at night. Different sleeping habits, such as one spouse who gets up early and one who gets up late, may be another reason for separate rooms or a flexible space to adapt into one, when needed. Patterson has been urging builders to bring such design ideas to the NEXTadventure home at the 2017 International Builders’ Show in Orlando.
“Since we all change as we age, acknowledge and accept the changes by designing homes that respond to how the 55-plus buyer really lives,” Patterson writes in her column at BUILDER. “Don’t just offer solutions to problems—design homes with dignity to allow the 55-plus cohort to age gracefully.”
Source: “Who Needs Sleep? Everyone.” BUILDER (2016)

Thursday, December 1, 2016

Buyers Are on the Hunt for the ‘Healthy Home’

With growing concern over soaring allergies and child asthma rates, more Americans are taking a closer look at their homes and how they may be affecting their health. It’s prompted some home buyers to look at the amount of toxins a home may be emitting as well as its air quality.  
In 2009, a survey conducted by homebuilder Meritage Homes revealed a growing concern among homeowners about the impact a home could have on their health. It motivated the builder in 2014 to add features to improve airflow and reduce toxins in its homes, such as improved air filters, whole-house water treatment, and low-emitting materials.
It also prompted more salespeople to ask buyers about any respiratory issues too when helping them to locate the right home. In the U.S., 17.7 million adults and 6.3 million children have asthma and more than 50 million Americans suffer from allergies.
Evolutionary Home Builders has made building a healthy home its primary focus. The company’s Evolutionary Pro Homes are marketed to meet the physical needs of professional athletes and designed to provide more oxygen, fresh air, and negative ions than traditional homes. The builder also claims it reduces the levels of toxins and allergens in its homes. Brandon Weiss, the founder of the company, says doctors have shown, via pre- and post-occupancy, how improved indoor environments can enhance performance.
More homebuilders are considering whether healthier building standards should be added to their homes too. However, the extra costs associated with building this way has been a big area of concern. But costs are heading down, which has prompted more builders to consider what elements they can offer.
Some builders are opting to become a partner in EPA’s voluntary Indoor airPLUS certification program. The certification program was launched in 2009 to provide construction specifications that protect indoor air quality. It’s recognition for builders who go “above and beyond” building standards in creating healthier indoor environments, says Bob Axelrad, EPA senior policy adviser for indoor environments.
Participants see indoor air quality and health as “the next important value proposition that they have to offer home buyers,” Axelrad says.
Other programs to help home owners determine the health of a home include WELL Building StandardLEED for HomesInternational Living Future Institute, the Healthy Building Network and BuildingGreen’s Health Product Declaration Open Standard, Greenguard, and Cradle to Cradle.
“Overall, health is a strong purchase driver, and there’s increasing concern about indoor air quality,” says Lee Ann Head, Shelton Group’s vice president of research. “But there’s work to be done to better communicate about the topic.”
Meritage Homes says at first they promoted a home’s health-based benefits along with energy efficiency. But they found the message wasn’t resonating. Buyers also were getting intimidated by the jargon, such as MERV (maximum efficiency rating value) air filters and low-VOC (volatile organic compound) materials. Now, its sales team focuses on “reminding consumers that they can and should have a better functioning home than they’ve had,” says C.R. Herro, vice president of energy efficiency and sustainability for Meritage.
Indeed, “we’re starting a conversation to get people to realize, wouldn’t it be great to have fresh air to breathe? Wouldn’t it be great to have a new house that doesn’t smell like a new car?” says Carl Grimes, managing director of the Hayword Healthy Home Institute. “It’s possible, and it doesn’t have to cost much more or even more to build a lot of these features into homes now.”
Source: “The Next Big Thing: Healthy Homes,” BUILDER (Nov. 30, 2016)

Porch Pirates on the Hunt This Holiday Season

As online shopping grows in popularity, the number of porch pirates is growing. Packages left near doorsteps can be motivation for thieves to swipe unopened boxes from porches or even mailboxes.
Twenty-three million Americans have had packages stolen from their home before they could open them, according to a recent study by InsuranceQuotes.
The online shopping trend is increasing opportunities for thieves to swipe from doorsteps. Shoppers now make 51 percent of their purchases online, up from 47 percent in 2014, according to a report by Fortune.com in June.
“The holidays are a fun, festive time to celebrate with friends and family. Unfortunately they are also a busy time for criminals,” says Ryland Madison, director of marketing for home automation and security firm Cox Homelife. “Homes and porches are filled with presents or left empty due to holiday travel. These become prime targets for theft.”
How can home owners keep their packages more secure from would-be thieves? Instead of having the package delivered to their doorstep, owners may want to have their packages held at the local post office or a private delivery facility, such as UPS or FedEx, advises Sarah Brown, a home safety and security expert for SafeWise.com.
“Although this option is not always the most convenient, it ensures your package is in good hands,” Brown says. “And if you have several packages coming throughout the season and don't have the time to pick up every single one, installing an outdoor security camera can offer an added layer of protection to your front porch. Often times thieves live nearby, and catching them on camera will more likely help you retrieve anything that’s stolen.”
Further, Madison suggests home owners have neighbors or a friend collect mail while they’re away (or have your packages delivered directly to them, with permission, while you’re away), and put a stop to newspaper, magazine, and mail deliveries so it’s not obvious that you’re away during the holiday.
Home owners also should beware of other potential holiday hazards, besides porch pirates. InsuranceQuotes’ study also found 7 million Americans have had a guest injured in their home, 16 million Americans have experienced a house fire due to a cooking accident, and 2 million Americans have experienced fires caused by Christmas trees and other holiday decorations.
“Half of all house fires originate in the kitchen, regardless of the time of year,” Brown says. “And since the kitchen is producing an excess amount of food during the holidays, it is especially important to keep an eye on your oven and keep combustible items away from the stove.”

10 Housing Markets to Envy in 2017

The national housing market is largely predicted to moderate in 2017, but a handful of metros are expected to beat expectations. In fact, 10 markets are looking like hot-beds for growth in the new year.
Realtor.com®’s research team has flagged markets that will likely see average price gains of 5.8 percent and sales growth of 6.3 percent in 2017. Those gains would exceed next year’s anticipated national growth of 3.9 percent in home prices and 1.9 percent in home sales.
As such, real estate professionals in these 10 markets should expect a booming business in 2017. Realtor.com® notes these are the hottest housing markets to watch in the new year, based on price and sales gains:
1. Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Ariz.
2. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, Calif.
3. Boston-Cambridge-Newton, Mass.-N.H.
4. Sacramento--Roseville--Arden-Arcade, Calif.
5. Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif.
6. Jacksonville, Fla.
7. Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Fla.
8. Raleigh, N.C.
9. Tucson, Ariz.
10. Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, Ore.-Wash.
Why are expectations so high for these 10 markets? Realtor.com®’s research team notes that strong local economies and population growth are helping to fuel sales. Also, the top 10 housing markets have other commonalities, such as relatively affordable rental prices, low unemployment, and large populations of millennials and baby boomers.

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