Friday, August 9, 2019

California housing affordability dips in second quarter 2019, C.A.R. reports

  • Thirty percent of California households could afford to purchase the $608,660 median-priced home in the second quarter of 2019, down from 32 percent in first-quarter 2019 but up from 26 percent a year ago. 
  • A minimum annual income of $122,960 was needed to make monthly payments of $3,070, including principal, interest and taxes on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at a 4.17 percent interest rate.
  • Forty percent of home buyers were able to purchase the $475,000 median-priced condo or townhome. An annual income of $95,960 was required to make a monthly payment of $2,400.
LOS ANGELES (Aug. 7) – Higher home prices negated the lowest interest rates in more than a year and reduced Californians’ ability to afford a home purchase in the second quarter of 2019, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.
The percentage of home buyers who could afford to purchase a median-priced, existing single-family home in California in second-quarter 2019 dipped to 30 percent from 32 percent in the first quarter of 2019 but was up from 26 percent in the second quarter a year ago, according to C.A.R.’s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI). California’s housing affordability index hit a peak of 56 percent in the second quarter of 2012.
C.A.R.’s HAI measures the percentage of all households that can afford to purchase a median-priced, single-family home in California. C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties within the state. The index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for home buyers in the state.
A minimum annual income of $122,960 was needed to qualify for the purchase of a $608,660 statewide median-priced, existing single-family home in the second quarter of 2019. The monthly payment, including taxes and insurance on a 30-year, fixed-rate loan, would be $3,070, assuming a 20 percent down payment and an effective composite interest rate of 4.17 percent. The effective composite interest rate was 4.62 percent in first-quarter 2019 and 4.70 percent in second-quarter 2018. 
Housing affordability for condominiums and townhomes also slipped in first-quarter 2019 compared to the previous quarter, with 40 percent of California households earning the minimum income to qualify for the purchase of a $475,000 median-priced condominium/townhome, down from 41 percent in the previous quarter. An annual income of $95,960 was required to make monthly payments of $2,400. Thirty-six percent of households could afford to buy a condominium/townhome a year ago.
Compared with California, more than half of the nation’s households (55 percent) could afford to purchase a $279,600 median-priced home, which required a minimum annual income of $56,480 to make monthly payments of $1,410.
Key points from the second-quarter 2019 Housing Affordability report include:
  • When compared to a year ago, housing affordability improved in 42 tracked counties and declined in five counties. Affordability remained flat in one county.
  • In the San Francisco Bay Area, affordability improved from second-quarter 2018 in every county. San Francisco County was the least affordable, with just 17 percent of households able to purchase the $1,700,000 median-priced home. Forty-six percent of Solano County households could afford the $445,000 median-priced home, making it the most affordable Bay Area county.
  • Affordability also improved in all Southern California regions, with Orange County being the least affordable (24 percent) and San Bernardino County being the most affordable (50 percent).
  • In the Central Valley region, only Kern County experienced a decline in affordability from a year ago, decreasing from 53 percent in second-quarter 2018 to 50 percent in second-quarter 2019. San Benito County (35 percent) was the least affordable and Kings County (55 percent) was the most affordable.
  • Housing affordability improved in three counties in the Central Coast region — Monterey, San Luis Obispo and Santa Cruz — and was unchanged in one, Santa Barbara.
  • During the second quarter of 2019, the most affordable counties in California were Lassen (63 percent), Kings (55 percent) and Madera (51 percent). The minimum annual income needed to qualify for a home in these counties was less than $60,000.
  • Mono (15 percent), San Francisco (17 percent), Santa Cruz (17 percent) and San Mateo (18 percent) counties were the least affordable areas in the state. San Francisco and San Mateo counties required the highest minimum qualifying incomes in the state. An annual income of $343,420 was needed to purchase a home in San Francisco County, and an annual income of $338,870 was required in San Mateo County.
Leading the way in California real estate for more than 110 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than 200,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Traditional Housing Affordability Index
Second quarter 2019

STATE/REGION/COUNTY
2nd Qtr. 2019
1st Qtr.
2019

2nd Qtr. 2018
Median Home Price
Monthly Payment Including Taxes & Insurance
Minimum Qualifying Income
Calif. Single-family home
30
32

26

$608,660
$3,070
$122,960
Calif. Condo/Townhome
40
41

36

$475,000
$2,400
$95,960
Los Angeles Metro Area
32
33

29

$540,000
$2,730
$109,090
Inland Empire
42
42

41

$380,000
$1,920
$76,760
San Francisco Bay Area
24
26

18

$980,000
$4,950
$197,970
United States
55
57

53

$279,600
$1,410
$56,480









San Francisco Bay Area








Alameda
23
25

16

$950,000
$4,800
$191,910
Contra Costa
35
37

29

$690,000
$3,480
$139,390
Marin
21
21

18

$1,381,250
$6,980
$279,030
Napa
28
29

25

$710,000
$3,590
$143,430
San Francisco
17
17

14

$1,700,000
$8,580
$343,420
San Mateo
18
18

14

$1,677,500
$8,470
$338,870
Santa Clara
20
20

16

$1,330,000
$6,720
$268,680
Solano
46
46

38

$445,000
$2,250
$89,900
Sonoma
28
27

20

$660,000
$3,330
$133,330
Southern California








Los Angeles
29
28

26

$567,010
$2,860
$114,540
Orange
24
24

20

$835,000
$4,220
$168,680
Riverside
39
39

37

$420,000
$2,120
$84,840
San Bernardino
50
50

49

$310,000
$1,570
$62,620
San Diego
27
27

23

$655,000
$3,310
$132,320
Ventura
30
29

28

$650,000
$3,280
$131,300
Central Coast








Monterey
24
25

19

$630,000
$3,180
$127,270
San Luis Obispo
25
26

22

$640,000
$3,230
$129,290
Santa Barbara
20
25

20

$724,500
$3,660
$146,360
Santa Cruz
17
17

12

$937,500
$4,740
$189,390
Central Valley








Fresno
48
48

46

$279,920
$1,410
$56,550
Kern
50
50

53

$255,000
$1,290
$51,510
Kings
55
57

50

$250,000
$1,260
$50,500
Madera
51
52

48

$277,000
$1,400
$55,960
Merced
47
46

42

$282,000
$1,420
$56,970
Placer
45
46

41

$514,950
$2,600
$104,030
Sacramento
44
44

41

$385,000
$1,940
$77,770
San Benito
35
31

30

$571,500
$2,880
$115,330
San Joaquin
44
43

38

$380,000
$1,920
$76,760
Stanislaus
48
47

45

$325,250
$1,640
$65,700
Tulare
50
51

48

$247,500
$1,250
$50,000
Other Calif. Counties







Amador
NA
NA

44

NA
NA
NA
Butte
35
34

38

$370,000
$1,870
$74,740
Calaveras
46
47

43

$343,000
$1,730
$69,290
El Dorado
40
40

38

$519,500
$2,620
$104,940
Humboldt
37
36

33

$320,000
$1,610
$64,570
Lake
44
44

37

$267,000
$1,350
$53,820
Lassen
63
63

64

$204,000
$1,030
$41,080
Mariposa
45
41

39

$300,000
$1,510
$60,350
Mendocino
29
28

22

$400,000
$2,010
$80,380
Mono
15
10

14

$699,500
$3,510
$140,410
Nevada
40
40

32

$419,000
$2,100
$84,020
Plumas
37
48

42

$367,390
$1,840
$73,600
Shasta
47
44

46

$281,000
$1,410
$56,230
Siskiyou
49
53

48

$232,500
$1,160
$46,480
Sutter
46
46

45

$312,500
$1,560
$62,400
Tehama
47
43

51

$244,000
$1,220
$48,680
Tuolumne
48
45

43

$300,000
$1,490
$59,790
Yolo
40
39

33

$455,000
$2,260
$90,590
Yuba
46
46

45

$305,000
$1,520
$60,660

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