Conejo Valley Real Estate Services & National Market Updates

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Landlords Score Big on College Football Locales



Football and real estate may go hand in hand. Investors are learning that renting off-campus corridors to college students near big-time college football schools can be a smart move.
“There’s a perceived value — and probably a real value,” says Jeanette Rice, head of investment research for the Americas at commercial real estate firm CBRE Group.
Fifty out of 68 off-campus student housing complexes that were sold in the first half of this year were at schools with football teams in the NCAA’s Division I, the highest level for college teams. Investors paid higher prices for apartments near these football stadiums, but they also may command higher rents in turn. Their investments also may have greater assurance of a steady stream of new tenants flowing in.
Rice says the demand for housing is higher near powerhouse football schools, which usually have a student body that is willing to pay higher rents.
Source: “College Football Is Big Money for Landlords, Too,” National Real Estate Investor (Oct. 11, 2016)
DAILY REAL ESTATE NEWS | WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 12, 2016
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Sunday, October 9, 2016

Great Spaces: Pharrell Williams’ Miami Penthouse Sells for $9.25 Million

Great Spaces: Pharrell Williams’ Miami Penthouse Sells for $9.25 Million
Pharrell Williams has every reason to be “Happy” after finally selling his Miami penthouse to a New Jersey businessman. With his main residence in the swanky Laurel Canyon in Los Angeles that he bought in 2015, it wasn’t feasible to hold onto the penthouse—even if it were in what many would call the best location in South Florida.
Perched on top of the 40-story Bristol Tower at the entrance to Key Biscayne, the property is just a stone’s throw from trendy Coconut Grove and a quick drive in the other direction to South Beach—locations with quite possibly the best restaurants, clubs, beaches and marinas in Miami. At 10,000 square feet, the penthouse has five bedrooms, seven bathrooms and an additional 5,000 square feet of terraces, with its own rooftop swimming pool and a second-level summer kitchen. Pharrell purchased the condo in 2007 for $12.5 million, then transformed it into a mogul palace with his art and furniture collection. The home offers 360-degree views of Biscayne Bay, the Atlantic Ocean, Key Biscayne, Coconut Grove and the Miami skyline.
Originally listed in 2012 for $16.8 million, the property had gone on and off the market with several price cuts until recently selling for $9.25 million.
In addition to his songwriting and performance skills, Pharrell’s explosion of creativity has led him into exciting musical collaborations and productions, as well as avenues where he can express other unexpected talents. He has his own clothing lines, BBC and BGC, along with Ice Cream Footware designed by Pharrell and produced by Reebok; a jewelry line through Louis Vuitton; sunglass designs; furniture and sculpture, in addition to many other creative and business pursuits.
Photo courtesy of toptenrealestatedeals.com.
By Nick Caruso
at October 09, 2016 No comments:
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5 Tips for Buying Foreclosed Homes

5 Tips for Buying Foreclosed Homes
(TNS)—Despite increases in home prices and a stabilizing housing market, many experts say the foreclosure crisis is far from over. But buying a foreclosed home is different from buying a typical resale. In many cases:
— Only one real estate agent is involved.
— The seller wants a preapproval letter from a lender before accepting an offer.
— There is little, if any, room for negotiation.
— The home comes as-is, and it’s up to the buyer to pay for repairs.
On the upside, most bank-owned homes are vacant, which can speed up the process of moving in.
“Buying a foreclosure is definitely a bit of a grind. It’s not easy,” says Robert Jensen, a broker in Las Vegas. “You’re getting fantastic pricing, but sometimes it takes going through a lot of houses and writing a lot of offers to get the home you want.”
Get a Broker and Lender
The first two steps in buying a foreclosure should happen almost simultaneously: Find a real estate broker who works directly with banks that own foreclosed homes and get a preapproval from a lender.
Elaine Zimmerman, a real estate investor and author, recommends that shoppers first visit any site with a database of foreclosed homes. You also could look at a local real estate website that lets you filter the results to see only foreclosures. You might find the acronym REO, which means “real estate owned” (by a bank, that is). This signifies that a home has been through foreclosure and the lender is selling it.
Get a Broker on Your Side
The goal of combing through foreclosure listings is not to find a house; it’s to find an agent. Banks usually hire a few real estate brokers to handle their REO properties in a market. In a lot of cases, the buyer works directly with the bank’s broker instead of using a buyer’s agent. That way, the commission doesn’t have to be split between two brokers.
“A lot of these realtors have a long-term relationship with these banks, and they know of listings that haven’t even come on the list yet,” Zimmerman says. “Call them about the listings that you’re interested in, but also ask them about listings that may be coming up because sometimes it may take a day or two or even a week before a listing actually comes onto the database.”
In places where thousands of foreclosed properties are for sale, you might not get much one-on-one attention from overloaded agents. To prove that you’re serious about buying, says Jensen, “right before or after you meet with the agent, meet with the lender.”
Get a Preapproval Letter
Unless you plan to pay cash, you’ll need a recent preapproval letter from a lender. The letter will describe how much money you can borrow, based upon the lender’s assessment of your credit score and income.
“The problem is, buyers want to find the house first, and then they think they’ll work out the financing,” Jensen says. “But the problem is, the really good deals on these bank-owned, they go quick — and the buyer doesn’t necessarily have time to try to work out the financing afterward. They need to work that out first.”
Zimmerman says some first-time buyers make the mistake of assuming that the bank selling the home will also finance the mortgage as part of the deal. “Don’t expect to get financing from the bank that foreclosed on it,” she says. “That’s a totally separate transaction, and they view it that way. The people in the (bank’s) REO department are not loan officers. They are getting rid of bad assets.”
Pricing Depends on Sales Pace
There’s no rule of thumb on what the bank’s bottom line is on price. Just as with any other real-estate purchase, you have to look at the recent sales prices of comparable properties, or “comps.”
Jensen says: “You really have to look at the comps in today’s current market conditions and write a competitive offer based on that. Sometimes the bank prices the homes really low, and the home will have multiple offers over list price within hours. Sometimes it’s priced too high, and you can come in lower. A lot of times, buyers will come to me and say, ‘We want to write offers for half price.’ It just doesn’t work that way.”
Don’t Expect a Repair Discount
Keep in mind that foreclosed houses generally are sold as-is. Jensen says: “Let’s say the house is listed for $200,000, all the comps are $200,000, and so the client comes in and said, ‘Hey, look, I want to buy this house but I’ve got to do paint, carpet and fix some mold damage, so I want to take $15,000 off the price.’ You know what? All the other ones were in the same condition, and they sold for $200,000.”
Jensen further counsels to look at the “absorption rate for your product class.” That means you should find out how quickly comparable houses are selling. In foreclosure, a 3,500-square-foot house with a pool in a gated community might sell within days or hours, whereas more modest homes might sit on the market for weeks.
If homes in your product class are selling swiftly, “the best advice on a bank-owned property is to come in at your highest and best, unless the property has been sitting on the market forever with no activity,” Jensen says. “If you’re going to be upset because you would have gone $5,000 more, but you lost the property, just bid the higher price in the first place.”
Jensen and Zimmerman recommend getting to know tradespeople who can assess and repair damage from pests, mold and leaks.
©2016 Bankrate.com
Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.
By Holden Lewis
at October 09, 2016 No comments:
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Thursday, October 6, 2016

Germany’s Union Investment Makes First Acquisitions in U.S. Retail

Union Investment is further diversifying its international real estate portfolio by making its first investments in U.S. urban retail. Union is acquiring a 49% stake in four high street properties with a total area of 113,500 square feet for its open-ended real estate fund Unimmo: Global. 


The buy will be done via a joint venture with TH Real Estate (a division of TIAA Global Asset Management). London-based TH Real Estate last month unveiled its U.S. Cities Fund series, a re-launch of the $2 billion TIAA-CREF Core Property Fund LP that plans to invest in retail, office, industrial and multifamily properties in major urban markets in the U.S. The four assets are owned by this fund, which originally paid $150 million for them. 

TH Real Estate will act as the managing member and will continue to hold a 51% stake in the portfolio. 

The four properties are located in prime shopping locations in New York, San Francisco and Philadelphia. The purchase price is not disclosed. 

Two of the properties that make up the urban retail portfolio are in New York and together represent around 70% of the total value. Located in the Upper East Side of New York, 1511 Third Ave., which comprises approximately 43,300 square feet, is occupied by fashion retailer GAP and a fitness studio. TIAA-CREF acquired the property in December 2012 for $60 million. 

In 636 Sixth Ave., 18,300 square feet of ground floor space belongs to the portfolio and is let to CVS Pharmacy on a long lease. TIAA bought the first floor condo in December 2014 for $42 million. 

The remaining 30% of the portfolio is split between 856 Market St. in San Francisco and 1608 Chestnut St. in Philadelphia. The tenant of the approximately 9,100 square feet of space close to Union Square in San Francisco is sportswear manufacturer New Balance. TIAA acquired the property in October 2014 for $23.5 million. 

The property in Philadelphia is located in the City Center, the historic and cultural heart of the city. The entire 42,800 square feet three-story building, which is let to Japanese fashion retailer Uniqlo, belongs to the portfolio. TIAA paid $24.5 million for the building in December 2014. 

This deal marks Union Investment’s first step in building a retail portfolio in the U.S. The company’s investment strategy targets the full spectrum of the retail property universe, from urban retail to grocery anchored shopping centers and malls. 

“Diversification and internationalization are two strategic goals for our retail portfolio that go hand in hand. Four properties in major cities with global reputations are an excellent start in the US market, with our ambition being to significantly increase our retail exposure,” said Henrike Waldburg, head of retail investment management at Union Investment Real Estate GmbH.
Copyright © 2016 CoStar News
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Monday, October 3, 2016

L.A. Times building sold to Canadian developer

Chicago media company Tribune Media Co. has sold a trio of properties for a combined $430 million, including the Los Angeles Times building in downtown Los Angeles.
The sale of Times Mirror Square to Onni Group paves the way for the redevelopment of a historic building the paper has called home since 1935. The Vancouver firm has explored turning the property at 202 W. 1st St. into a collection of creative offices, shops and residential units.
The Times reported in June that Onni had signed an agreement to buy the building.  The sale officially closed Monday night, a source familiar with the deal said Tuesday.
Tribune Media formally announced the sale Wednesday morning, in addition to the sale of two other properties — The Times printing facility off Olympic Boulevard and Tribune Tower in Chicago.
In its news release, Tribune didn’t mention individual buyers or prices, but the source familiar with the Times Mirror deal said that Onni paid more than $100 million for the 750,000-square-foot complex.
An executive at Onni Group did not return messages seeking comment.
Known as Times Mirror Square, the L.A. Times’  headquarters is a mix of five interconnected structures that fill an entire city block, bounded by Broadway and Spring and 1st and 2nd streets. A redevelopment would dramatically remake the City Center neighborhood by turning the aging buildings occupied by The Times and other businesses into a bustling, mixed-use center.
The W. 2nd St. entrance to the Los Angeles Times building in downtown L.A.
The W. 2nd St. entrance to the Los Angeles Times building in downtown L.A. (Jerome Adamstein / Los Angeles Times)
A person familiar with Onni’s pursuit of the Times building said in late June that the developer was considering tearing down a section of the complex along 1st Street to build apartments. That portion dates back to the 1970s and currently houses a Bank of America branch and offices.
The acquisition is a significant gain for Onni, which has been on a buying spree in downtown L.A., where it also owns at least eight other properties — including offices, apartments and an extended-stay hotel.
Among the more ambitious developments is a 49-story residential tower under construction near the corner of 8th and Hill streets and Level DTLA, a 33-story building with fully furnished extended-stay apartments that opened on Olive Street last year.
It’s unclear if the Los Angeles Times will stay in the building, known for its Art Deco lobby with a large revolving globe.
For now, the newspaper — located downtown since its founding as the Los Angeles Daily Times in 1881 — has a lease until 2018, with two consecutive five-year options beyond that, a person familiar with the terms said in June.
The historic Globe Lobby at the Los Angeles Times building in downtown L.A..
The historic Globe Lobby at the Los Angeles Times building in downtown L.A.. (Jerome Adamstein / Los Angeles Times)
“The Los Angeles Times has a long-term lease in place with options to renew and no immediate plans to move,” a spokeswoman for the paper’s owner, Tronc Inc., said Tuesday.
Onni was founded by Italian immigrant Inno De Cotiis with the company’s name an anagram of his first name. It has helped transform Vancouver from a sleepy town to a dense city with soaring glass towers.
Onni has offices in Los Angeles, Phoenix, Chicago and Ensenada, Mexico, and is run by Inno’s son Rossano.
It has built more than 6,000 residences in North America over the last decade and owns and manages 6.5 million square feet of commercial space and more than 4,600 apartments, according to its website.
“They are one of the more prolific and successful developers in the country,” said Anne McMullin, president of the Urban Development Institute in Vancouver, a trade group that counts Onni as a member.
The Times building sale was triggered by the 2014 spinoff of The Times, the Chicago Tribune and other newspapers from Tribune Co. into a separate company, Tribune Publishing, now known as Tronc.
Tribune Co., which was renamed Tribune Media, retained the Times building and other real estate, including The Times’ downtown printing facility off Olympic Boulevard.
The printing facility was purchased by a partnership headed by L.A.-based Harridge Development Group, its chief executive, David  Schwartzman, said Tuesday. He declined to discuss plans for the property.
Los Angeles developer CIM Group was the buyer of the Tribune tower in Chicago, which it purchased for at least $205 million.
Tribune, which owns television stations across the country, including KTLA in Los Angeles, has been selling its real estate assets.
The closing of the Times Mirror Square sale was first reported by the Los Angeles Business Journal.
The Los Angeles Times building in downtown L.A. has been sold to Onni Group of Vancouver. (Jerome Adamstein / Los Angeles Times) http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-times-building-sale-20160926-snap-story.html
By Andrew Khouri
at October 03, 2016 No comments:
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Thursday, September 29, 2016

Sneak Peek: The ‘It’ Paint Color for 2017

SW-6039_Poised_Taupe_dollop_01
Sherwin-Williams Poised Taupe (SW 6039)
Time to paint the house taupe. Sherwin-Williams revealed its 2017 Color of the Year: Poised Taupe (SW 6039).
The company expects the brownish-gray hue to become the year’s go-to color for home interiors.
Taupe marks a departure from the company’s mostly cool-toned neutrals it has tended to favor recently. A 2016 industry survey suggests a transition from gray to taupe. Nearly 40 percent of survey respondents said they would like to use warmer neutrals – such as warm grays, taupes, or beiges – in their home’s colors. What’s more, about two in five respondents said taupe was the neutral they would most choose.
For a perfect pairing, Sherwin-Williams designers recommend combining Poised Taupe with pastels, brights, and jewel tones (such as a faded indigo hue for a French countryside look or combine it with a teal or sunny yellow for a more bold impact).
“Poised Taupe celebrates everything people love about cool gray as a neutral, and also brings in the warmth of brown, taking a color to an entirely new level,” says Sue Wadden, director of color marketing for Sherwin-Williams. “Not cool or warm, nor gray or brown, Poised Taupe is a weathered, woodsy neutral bringing a sense of coziness and harmony that people are seeking.”
Take a look.
taupe_sw_3
Photo courtesy: Sherwin-Williams
taupe_sw_2
Photo courtesy: Sherwin-Williams
taupe_sw_1
Photo courtesy: Sherwin-Williams
Article courtesy of:  Melissa Dittmann Tracey, REALTOR® Magazine
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U.S. Commercial Real Estate: A Favorite among Foreign Investors


Considerable press has been given lately to high-profile real estate acquisitions made by foreign investors, particularly those from China. China Life Insurance Group Co. recently purchased a $1.65 billion Manhattan office tower on Sixth Avenue; Anbang Insurance Group Co. bought Manhattan’s Waldorf-Astoria Hotel for $2 billion; and Chinese real estate giant Greenland Group is midway through the acquisition of a massive, $1 billion mixed-use project in downtown Los Angeles called “Metropolis.”
These high-ticket projects make headlines. But the real story lies in the steady growth of overseas investment in small- to mid-balance commercial real estate transactions, particularly as they have become available through marketplace lending.

What’s the draw for foreign investors?

Global instability, Brexit and the threat of a debt-fueled bubble bursting in the Chinese economy has made U.S. commercial real estate one of the most desired investments on the planet. The Wall Street Journal recently reported a 19 percent year-over-year increase in investment by China in U.S. commercial real estate for the first half of 2016.
Generally speaking, real estate, especially income-producing commercial real estate, is seen by foreign investors as a solid investment. Why? Because not only does it retain significant value at all points in the cycle, it also provides a tangible, saleable and income-producing form of collateral in the form of lease and lodging payments.
Overseas interest in office, multifamily and hospitality properties from coast to coast has been rising steadily all over the U.S., but more so in traditional metropolitan centers such as Los Angeles, New York, San Francisco and Chicago.
China’s high-net-worth individuals are buying up luxury apartments, hotels and retail developments, but they’re also investing in funds and REITs to spread their investments among multiple properties that will diversify their interests across the market and, in some instances, provide for greater liquidity. Many upper middle class professionals in China are doing the same: pooling their money with other investors to buy smaller-scale commercial properties such as budget hotels, shopping centers and apartment communities.

New opportunities

Marketplace lending, also known as a peer-to-peer platform, gives foreign investors the opportunity to get involved in the financial side of commercial real estate without the headache of having to manage commercial real estate as an owner or part owner in the property.
Marketplace lending is nothing new to the Chinese. In fact, the China peer-to-peer lending market is the largest in the world, topping more than $150 billion in 2015. TheWall Street Journal reported last year that there were 1,575 peer-to-peer platforms in China, up from 50 three years ago.
But few, if any, of those platforms offer the benefits of U.S.-based marketplace lending, where foreign investors can participate in loans for individual properties stateside, such as hotels, retail centers or multifamily communities. Investment funds offer the same opportunities, but for multiple properties instead of just one, frequently creating preference among investors for providing diversity, reduced risk and, in many cases, stronger yields.
As foreign investors continue to look for new commercial real estate investment platforms, marketplace lending will continue to create new opportunities for this group.
Courtesy of Gary Bechtel / National Real Estate Investor http://nreionline.com/investment/us-commercial-real-estate-favorite-among-foreign-investors
Gary Bechtel serves as president of Money360. Prior to joining the company, he was chief lending/originations officer of CU Business Partners, LLC, one of the nation’s largest credit union service organizations (CUSO).
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Wednesday, September 28, 2016

California Today: ‘Sticker Shock’ in Los Angeles Housing

Development in downtown Los Angeles, where high rents have led many to flee for the suburbs.CreditMonica Almeida/The New York Times
Good morning.
Welcome to California Today, a morning update on the stories that matter to Californians (and anyone else interested in the state).
Tell us about the issues that matter to you — and what you’d like to see:CAtoday@nytimes.com.
Want to receive California Today by email? Sign up.
Let’s turn it over to Jennifer Medina, a national correspondent based in Los Angeles.
What does it take to be middle class in Los Angeles?
That was the question Ross DeVol started out asking himself when he began calculating how much a resident would need to make to spend 30 percent of earned after-tax income on rent for a two-bedroom apartment in Los Angeles County.
The answer: a whopping $145,000.

California Today

The news and stories that matter to Californians (and anyone else interested in the state). Sign up to get it by email.
“It really challenges what we think of what we speak of the middle income family,” said Mr. DeVol, a researcher with the Milken Institute, a Santa Monica-based think tank. “It significantly changes the requirements for living a middle-class life here.”
To arrive at the figure, Mr. DeVol used median rents in the county, with a two-bedroom landing at roughly $2,000, a figure that varies greatly, of course, on the exact location. (A two-bedroom in Santa Monica, for example, is far higher than a two-bedroom in Glendale.) Mr. DeVol then looked at tax brackets to arrive at his conclusion.
It’s not simply a matter of complaining about the rent being too high, Mr. DeVol explained. It presents a challenge to the economy, forcing many would-be Angelenos out of the city and into the surrounding suburbs or even out of state.
The problem stems in part from the fact that more jobs have been created in the city than new housing. And though Los Angeles has not yet reached San Francisco-sized rents, economists like Mr. DeVol worry that it will stop the city from growing.
“It becomes a real challenge for companies recruiting people,” he said, invoking his own experience in trying to get new employees. “There’s a real sticker shock in getting them to come here. What we think of as approaching the middle class barely gets you there here.”
The median income in the county is roughly $45,000, Mr. DeVol said. And by some estimates people spend an average of half their income on rent today, he added.
“I really fear losing a big chunk of families and an economy that is vibrant enough to sustain it in the future,” Mr. DeVol said.
Courtesy of nytimes.com by Mike McPhate
What’s your experience of rising rents in the region? How much of your paycheck goes to rent or mortgage? How have you dealt with the climbing costs of housing? Share your story with us: CAtoday@nytimes.com.
at September 28, 2016 No comments:
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Friday, September 23, 2016

Mortgage Rates Head Back Down



Mortgage rates settled back down after inching higher in recent weeks.
"The 10-year Treasury yield declined after last week's post-Brexit high in anticipation of the Fed's September policy meeting,” says Sean Becketti, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage followed Treasury yields, falling 2 basis points and settling at 3.48 percent. Despite the decrease in rates, the Refinance Index plunged 8 percent to its lowest level since June.”
Freddie Mac reports the following national averages with mortgage rates for the week ending Sept. 22:
  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.48 percent, with an average 0.6 point, falling from last week’s 3.50 percent average. Last year at this time, 30-year rates averaged 3.86 percent.
  • 15-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 2.76 percent, with an average 0.5 point, falling from last week’s 2.77 percent average. A year ago, 15-year rates averaged 3.08 percent.
  • 5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages: averaged 2.80 percent, with an average 0.5 point, dropping from last week’s 2.82 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 2.91 percent.
Source: Freddie Mac
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Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Home Flipping is Hot Again

Home flipping zoomed to a six-year high in the second quarter of 2016, as more investors eyed properties to spruce up and turn over for a quick resale.
Read more: Beware of the Flip
A total of 51,434 single-family homes and condo sales were completed flips in the second quarter of this year, up 14 percent from the previous quarter and up 3 percent from a year ago. It is the highest number of home flips since the second quarter of 2010, according to the Q2 2016 U.S. Home Flipping Report, released by ATTOM Data Solutions.
“Home flipping is becoming more accessible for smaller operators thanks to an increasingly competitive lending environment with more loan options for real estate investors, who are also benefiting from the historically low mortgage interest rates,” says Daren Blomquist, senior vice president at ATTOM Data Solutions. “That favorable lending environment for flippers has helped to fuel the recent flipping frenzy we’ve seen over the past five quarters.”
Homes flipped in the second quarter accounted for 5.5 percent of all single-family and condo sales. A total of 39,775 investors (both individuals or institutions) completed at least one home flip during the quarter, the highest number of home flippers since the second quarter of 2007, the report showed.
“We’re starting to see home flipping hit some milestones not seen since prior to the financial crisis, which is somewhat concerning, but there are a couple of important differences in the home flipping of 2016 compared to 2006 when home flipping peaked during the last housing boom,” Blomquist says. “First, home flippers are realizing a much bigger gross ROI in 2016, averaging 49 percent in the first two quarters compared to an average gross ROI of just 27 percent in 2006. Second, while an increasing number of flippers are financing their purchases, more than two-thirds are still using cash to purchase compared to about one-third using cash to purchase back in 2006.”
Homes that were flipped in the second quarter took an average of 185 days to flip, up from 182 days a year ago. The metro areas that had the longest average times to flip properties were Ogden-Clearfield, Utah (229 days); Naples, Fla. (222 days); Punta Gorda, Fla. (212 days); Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, Fla. (206 days); and Pensacola, Fla. (206 days), according to the report.
Overall, the following 10 markets had the highest flipping rates in the nation:
  1. Memphis: 11.1%
  2. Visalia-Porterville, Calif.: 10.1%
  3. Tampa, Fla.: 10%
  4. York-Hanover, Pa.: 9.7%
  5. Mobile, Ala.: 9.6%
  6. Fresno, Calif.: 9.5%
  7. Lakeland-Winter Haven, Fla.: 9.5%
  8. Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, Fla.: 9.4%
  9. Clarksville, Tenn.: 9.3%
  10. Miami: 8.6%
Source: RealtyTrac
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Monday, September 19, 2016

Are Online Shoppers Hurting REITs?

As retail activity shifts increasingly to the online world, experts identify some real estate investment trusts that stand to benefit. But others may have a bumpy road ahead.
Vacant store
The surge in internet retail sales is proving to be a boon for industrial real estate investment trusts, as online retailers need space to store and distribute their goods. But the same can’t be said for Class B and C mall REITs; the ever-increasing portion of consumers doing their shopping online is putting a dent in the revenue of mall tenants, which is in turn harming the investment vehicles that rely on them.
Online retail sales grew 15 percent last year to $341.7 billion, according to the U.S. Commerce Department. That dollar amount represented 7 percent of total retail sales in 2015. “And we only expect that to rise in the future, especially as millennials who grew up with e-commerce take over the big portion of spending,” says Edward Mui, a REIT analyst at Morningstar, a research firm in Chicago.
The bifurcated effect on industrial and retail space is evident in REIT performance. Industrial REITs in the FTSE NAREIT US REIT index have returned a whopping 21.8 percent so far this year, compared to 9.9 percent for REITs overall. Meanwhile, mall REITs are lagging behind with a 6.9 percent return.
Prologis, the largest industrial REIT, has calculated that every dollar of online sales requires three times more distribution and warehouse space than a dollar of sales at a brick-and-mortar store. That’s because when goods are shipped to a brick-and-mortar retailer, the shipment usually entails a large amount of goods delivered to a limited number of stores. But internet sales routinely involve the delivery of a single package to anywhere in the country and beyond. Oftentimes these goods travel long distances before reaching their end point and must be stored in industrial facilities along the way. Mui says that’s part of the reason why the online shopping trend “seems to be an unalloyed benefit” for industrial REITs.
Steve Brown, a real estate fund manager at American Century Investments, agrees. He says that, as a result of the high demand for this type of industrial space, rents and occupancy rates are rising: “We think that trend will continue along with the growth in online sales.”
Online retail goliath Amazon is naturally a huge user of industrial space. But so are Wal-Mart and Target, which are both building out their online presence, according to Jonathan Miniman, a portfolio manager at CBRE Clarion Securities in Radnor, Penn. He says online sales will be a “fundamental tailwind for the foreseeable future” in the industrial REIT space and adds that these companies demand high-quality spaces: “Online retailers need the newest and best assets—bigger floor plates and higher ceilings.”
Amazon in particular demands unique design and capacity for its distribution centers and warehouses, which means rethinking the relationship between industrial tenants and real estate professionals. “That requires innovations from landlords, making landlords their partners,” Mui says. “That trend will continue.” Amazon is also trying to cut down on its delivery time, and it will take the right kind of real estate to do that. So Amazon’s relationship with its landlords will only grow closer, Mui says, and for REITs that feature buildings with truly effective landlords, the growth of online sales could be a boon, he says.
But online sales aren’t a benefit to all. On the retail front, falling sales at retailers such as Sears and J.C. Penney are causing pain for some malls. “While [Class] A malls are still putting up good numbers, B and C malls have flat to falling occupancies and rents,” Brown says. “The A malls have restaurants and popular tenants like Tesla and Apple.”
That’s not to say that the retail REIT sector as a whole is underperforming. It has returned 10.7 percent this year—better than the overall REIT average—propelled by strength in certain types of shopping centers. Some retail trends that reach beyond commercial class type and indicate diversification can lead to better outcomes for shopping centers. Miniman notes that shoppers at brick-and-mortar stores are spending more on durable goods, such as home-improvement items, than on nondurable goods, such as apparel. They’re also looking for more experiential options, such as restaurants and movies. “Retailers are trying to figure it out, and the better ones will,” he says.
Omnichannel retailing, which mixes brick-and-mortar with online, is the most profitable, Miniman says. When a customer orders a product online and picks it up at a store, the company doesn’t have to pay a sales commission. Additionally, when online shoppers come to pick up their orders at the store, they’re confronted with yet another chance to buy.
Also, this trend of mixing online sales with physical locations means retailers can use their stores as warehouse and distribution centers. For example, big department stores may not be able to complete deliveries within hours of ordering, but they can be more convenient for shoppers picking up last-minute items on the way home. “If you’re Macy’s, you can’t compete with Amazon,” Miniman says. “But you have 500 stores, and you’re close to the last mile for consumers.”
Unlike some mall REITs, shopping center REITs have thrived this year, returning 16.8 percent. They are benefiting from the strong sales numbers put up by tenants such as Home Depot, Lowes, Wal-Mart, and Target, as these retailers are faring better than department stores. “Strip centers are seeing a rise in occupancy because of the improvement in the economy,” Brown says.
But at the most basic level, the strip centers are facing the same issues as malls. While gross domestic product has grown about 2.1 percent annually since the recession ended in 2009, that hasn’t been strong enough to boost Class B and Class C retail in malls or shopping centers, which have both suffered as income has stagnated for the nonwealthy. But for both types of REITs, Class A properties will continue to shine, analysts say. “That’s where the retailers want to be,” Miniman says.
BY DAN WEIL for Realtormag http://realtormag.realtor.org/commercial/feature/article/2016/07/are-online-shoppers-hurting-reits
at September 19, 2016 No comments:
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