Tuesday, February 28, 2017

Transit Hubs: Are They the New Mall?

Developers are pouring billions of dollars into giving facelifts to some transit hubs across the country. These improvements are not for expanding traveler capacity but to make these hubs more eye-catching and give commuters a reason to hang out and not just pass through. They're mixing in dining, retail, event offerings, and even the chance to live there.
Housing's Transit-Oriented Boom
Developers believe that traditional rail and light rail station segments can spur development in an area while also “converting the old-time train station into a destination itself,” ConstructionDive reports.
Redeveloping and changing the perception of transit hubs will draw people in to shop and socialize, even when they’re not taking a trip, says real estate attorney B.A. Spignardo of Shapiro Lifschitz & Schram in Washington, D.C.
Major transit hubs like Union Station in Washington, D.C., Pennsylvania Station in New York, and 30th Street Station in Philadelphia are devoting billions of dollars to make over their transit hubs into bigger destinations. In D.C.’s Union Station, Amtrak announced last year that it plans to build a $50 million concourse, which will also include a 3-million-square-foot mixed-use complex called Burnham Place that will provide residential, retail, and commercial space above the station.
Last year, Amtrak also proposed a $6.5 billion upgrade to Philadelphia’s 30th Street Station, which would include the creation of a “dense urban neighborhood.” Also, a $1.6 billion, 255-square-foot renovation is slated of the James Farley Post Office to turn it into a transit hall for Pennsylvania Station in New York. Developers are looking to preserve the historical look of the existing structure while also adding in modern features for commuters. The Moynihan Hall is to be completed by 2020 and will feature 112,000 square feet of retail and 588,000 square feet of office space.
Source: “Full Steam Ahead: Why Transit Hub Development Is Seeing a Resurgence,” ConstructionDive (Feb. 23, 2017)

Owners Are Spending More on Remodeling

Baby boomers may be sparking a remodeling boom. Homeowner spending on remodeling projects is expected to see steady growth through 2025, according to Demographic Change and the Remodeling Outlook, released by Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies. Older owners are expected to make up the majority of those spending gains over the coming years too as they adapt their homes to be able to age in place.
Read moreRemodeling Impact
Expenditures by homeowners over age 55 are expected to increase by nearly 33 percent by 2025, which will account for more than three-quarters of total gains over the next 10 years, according to the JCHS report.
“A disproportionate share of growth over the coming decade will be among older owners, minority owners, and households without young children, groups that traditionally spend less on home improvements,” the report notes.
The residential remodeling market, which includes spending on improvements and repairs by homeowners and rental property owners, zoomed to an all-time high of $340 billion in 2015. That surpassed the prior peak set in 2007.
Remodeling improvements are expected to increase 2 percent per year, on average, through 2025, after adjusting for inflation, according to the JCHS report.
“With national house prices rising sufficiently to help owners rebuild home equity lost during the downturn, and with both household incomes and existing home sales on the rise, we expect to see continued growth in the home improvement market,” says Kermit Baker, director of the Remodeling Futures Program at the Joint Center for Housing Studies.  


Rising home prices are encouraging homeowners to reinvest in their homes. But the increase in prices and mortgage rates are making it more difficult for younger households to make improvements and repairs, the report notes. Still, millennials are expected to take on more remodeling projects over the next decade, particularly as they buy up older, more affordable homes that are in need of renovations.
“Despite these challenges, the remodeling industry should see numerous growth opportunities over the next decade,” says Chris Herbert, managing director of the Joint Center for Housing Studies. “Strong demand for rental housing has opened up that segment to a new wave of capital investment, and the shortage of affordable housing in much of the country makes the stock of older homes an attractive option for buyers willing to invest in upgrades.”


The increase in remodeling will likely spur growth within specialty niches, such as those focused on energy efficiency, environmental sustainability, home automation, and healthy homes.
Source: “Improving America’s Housing 2017: Demographic Changes and the Remodeling Outlook,” Harvard University’s Joint Center for housing Studies (2017)

Luxury Sellers Aren’t Going to Like This

More high-end home sellers across the country are being forced to offer discounts as the luxury real estate market shows signs of softening, The Wall Street Journal reports.
"Buyers are very price sensitive," says Donna Olshan, a real estate professional based in Manhattan. "If it's not priced right it's going to sit until the cows come home."
Real estate pros and sellers in the luxury market are having to adjust their expectations. In the third quarter of 2016, the median asking price for homes in the top 5 percent of listings reached $1.2 million, an 18 percent increase from a year ago, according to realtor.com® market data. The actual sales prices in that luxury segment, however, only rose by 3 percent during that period.
Luxury listings are lingering on the market longer than the overall market too. Luxury listings are taking a median of 131 days to sell, about 4 percent slower than a year ago, realtor.com®’s data shows.
"The smart sellers today are pricing for now, not 2014," says Jeff Adler, of New York's Douglas Elliman. "An $88 million apartment went into contract three years ago and just sold. Would they get $88 million today? Probably not."
The strength of the U.S. dollar has caused some overseas buyers to pause.  Also, oversupply may be another problem facing the luxury market. For example, a surge in luxury condos and speculative homes over the past five years in markets like New York and Miami has sparked a slowdown. A luxury apartment in Manhattan was listed in April for $120 million and is now being offered at $96 million, a $24 million discount. A luxury condo in midtown is seeing developer discounts now being offered at 10 percent to 15 percent on lower-level units priced between $4 million and $12 million.
"We've priced to account for today's market," says developer Gary Barnett. And, "the market wants to see some discounting."
Source: “Luxury Home Sellers Slash Millions off Asking Prices,” The Wall Street Journal (Feb. 23, 2017) [Log-in required.]

Monday, February 20, 2017

California housing market kicks off year higher in January

- Existing, single-family home sales totaled 420,100 in January on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, up 2.1 percent from December and 4.4 percent from January 2016.
- January’s statewide median home price was $489,580, down 3.8 percent from December and up 4.8 percent from January 2016.
- Statewide sales of condos fell 22.1 percent from December on a non-seasonally adjusted basis and rose 7.5 percent from January a year ago.
LOS ANGELES (Feb. 17) – California’s housing market started the year on a high note, following up on December’s strong showing with higher sales both on a monthly and yearly basis in January, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today. 

Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 420,100 units in January, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. The statewide sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2017 if sales maintained the January pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.
The January figure was up 2.1 percent from the 411,430 level in December, and up 4.4 percent compared with home sales in January 2016 of a revised 402,220. The month-to-month gain was the first December-to-January increase since 2012, which is an encouraging sign.
“California’s housing market continues to be defined by the higher-priced, coastal markets and the less expensive, inland areas that still offer access to major employment centers,” said C.A.R. President Geoff McIntosh. “For example, eroding affordability and tight housing inventory are pushing buyers away from the core Bay Area markets of San Francisco, San Mateo, and Santa Clara and into less expensive bedroom communities, such as Contra Costa, Napa, and Solano. In Southern California, an influx of buyers from coastal employment areas into the Inland Empire drove healthy year-over-year sales in Riverside and San Bernardino.”
The median price of an existing, single-family detached California home fell below the $500,000 mark for the first time since March 2016, but home prices remain seasonably strong. The median price was down 3.8 percent from a revised $508,870 in December to $489,580 in January. The median sales price is the point at which half of homes sold for more and half sold for less; it is influenced by the types of homes selling, as well as a general change in values.
January’s median price was up 4.8 percent from the revised $467,160 recorded in January 2016, a slightly slower pace than the 5.6 percent increase averaged last year. Since 2011, price declines from December to January have usually ranged from -11.7 percent to as little as -4.6 percent, but January’s 3.8 percent monthly smaller price decline suggests that price pressure remains relatively robust and could translate into additional price growth as the spring and summer home-buying seasons near.
“January’s sales increase was likely boosted by rising interest rates, which have risen sharply since the election and have given buyers an incentive to get off the sidelines and close escrow before rates go higher,” said C.A.R. Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “Yet, future anticipated rate hikes will increase the cost of homebuying and could have an adverse effect on affordability and future home sales.”
Other key points from C.A.R.’s January 2017 resale housing report include:
• C.A.R.’s Unsold Inventory Index, which measures the number of months needed to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate, rose to 3.7 months in January from 2.6 months in December. The index stood at 4.3 months in January 2016.
• New listings in pricey Bay Area counties, such as Marin, San Francisco, San Mateo, and Santa Clara rose significantly from December, a possible indication of sellers cashing out robust price appreciation experienced over the past few years.
• New statewide active listings continued to decline, dipping 0.3 percent from December and 10.5 percent from January 2016.
• The median number of days it took to sell a single-family home went up from 33 days in December to 37 days in January but was down from 44.2 days in January 2016.
• C.A.R.’s sales-to-list price ratio* was 98.1 of listing prices statewide in January, 98.2 percent in December and 97.8 in January 2016.
• The average price per square foot** for an existing, single-family home statewide was $240 in January, $242 in December, and $228 in January 2016.

• San Francisco County had the highest price per square foot in January at $841/sq. ft., followed by San Mateo ($723/sq. ft.), and Santa Clara ($567/sq. ft.). Counties with the lowest price per square foot in January included Del Norte ($124/sq. ft.), Kings ($125/sq. ft.), and Kern ($127/sq. ft.).
• After mortgage rates surged in the final few weeks of 2016, the 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaged 4.15 percent in January, down from 4.2 percent in December but was up from 3.87 percent in January 2016, according to Freddie Mac. The five-year, adjustable-rate mortgage interest rates edged up in January to an average of 3.24 percent, from 3.23 percent in December and 2.98 percent in January 2016.
Graphics (click links to open):
Note:  The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state, and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only. County sales data are not adjusted to account for seasonal factors that can influence home sales.  Movements in sales prices should not be interpreted as changes in the cost of a standard home.  The median price is where half sold for more and half sold for less; medians are more typical than average prices, which are skewed by a relatively small share of transactions at either the lower-end or the upper-end. Median prices can be influenced by changes in cost, as well as changes in the characteristics and the size of homes sold.  The change in median prices should not be construed as actual price changes in specific homes.
*Sales-to-list price ratio is an indicator that reflects the negotiation power of home buyers and home sellers under current market conditions. The ratio is calculated by dividing the final sales price of a property by its last list price and is expressed as a percentage.  A sales-to-list ratio with 100 percent or above suggests that the property sold for more than the list price, and a ratio below 100 percent indicates that the price sold below the asking price.
**Price per square foot is a measure commonly used by real estate agents and brokers to determine how much a square foot of space a buyer will pay for a property.  It is calculated as the sale price of the home divided by the number of finished square feet.  C.A.R. currently tracks price-per-square foot statistics for 39 counties.
Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 110 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with 185,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

January 2016 County Sales and Price Activity(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
January-17Median Sold Price of Existing Single-Family HomesSales
State/Region/CountyJan-17Dec-16 Jan-16 MTM% ChgYTY% ChgMTM% ChgYTY% Chg
CA SFH (SAAR)$489,580$508,870 $467,160r-3.8%4.8%2.1%4.4%
CA Condo/Townhomes$399,710$403,240 $380,110r-0.9%5.2%-22.1%7.5%
Los Angeles Metro Area$450,710$463,380 $434,000r-2.7%3.9%-31.2%-5.6%
Inland Empire$312,500$320,970 $291,920 -2.6%7.0%-18.4%8.6%
S.F. Bay Area$723,750$770,000r$690,000r-6.0%4.9%-30.7%-0.9%
          
S.F. Bay Area         
Alameda$755,000$755,000 $700,000r0.0%7.9%-32.9%-0.4%
Contra Costa$540,000$550,000 $500,000r-1.8%8.0%-26.0%10.4%
Marin$1,150,000$1,118,700 $952,500r2.8%20.7%-37.2%-3.6%
Napa$662,500$605,000 $584,500r9.5%13.3%-18.3%0.0%
San Francisco$1,250,000$1,315,210 $1,160,000r-5.0%7.8%-45.7%1.0%
San Mateo$1,150,000$1,332,500 $1,077,500 -13.7%6.7%-38.9%-11.6%
Santa Clara$927,500$965,000 $895,000 -3.9%3.6%-33.9%-7.8%
Solano$387,400$405,000 $354,000r-4.3%9.4%-22.3%6.8%
Sonoma$579,500$585,000 $550,000r-0.9%5.4%-23.3%-11.3%
Southern California         
Los Angeles$509,320$519,280r$480,950 -1.9%5.9%-26.3%6.7%
Orange $740,000$745,000 $699,900r-0.7%5.7%-26.8%-1.1%
Riverside $357,500$360,000 $328,000r-0.7%9.0%-20.6%9.9%
San Bernardino$242,650$253,460 $234,460 -4.3%3.5%-14.6%6.7%
San Diego$550,000$568,000 $530,000r-3.2%3.8%-25.3%6.8%
Ventura$606,150$627,580 $638,590 -3.4%-5.1%-29.7%-17.3%
Central Coast         
Monterey$572,500$497,000 $500,000 15.2%14.5%-24.9%2.5%
San Luis Obispo$536,000$559,000 $540,000r-4.1%-0.7%-14.2%13.4%
Santa Barbara$710,000$735,000 $748,000r-3.4%-5.1%-22.3%1.4%
Santa Cruz$800,000$805,000 $694,500 -0.6%15.2%-7.9%20.8%
Central Valley         
Fresno$235,000$238,220 $216,000r-1.4%8.8%-29.4%3.8%
Glenn$221,000$197,500 $159,975r11.9%38.1%6.7%-11.1%
Kern $215,000$220,000 $215,000 -2.3%0.0%-12.5%-7.7%
Kings $200,000$215,000 $190,000r-7.0%5.3%-14.1%65.9%
Madera$229,900$227,950 $227,500r0.9%1.1%-33.8%-2.2%
Merced$225,500$235,000 $193,950r-4.0%16.3%-11.6%2.4%
Placer $425,000$425,000 $405,000r0.0%4.9%-40.0%-10.2%
Sacramento$305,000$314,940 $281,000r-3.2%8.5%-27.2%14.1%
San Benito$550,000$475,000 $480,000 15.8%14.6%-21.1%-37.5%
San Joaquin$307,500$326,750 $290,000r-5.9%6.0%-32.3%-16.1%
Stanislaus$279,750$275,000 $245,000r1.7%14.2%-27.0%4.0%
Tulare$202,500$204,950 $195,000r-1.2%3.8%-29.8%28.0%
Other Calif. Counties         
Amador$295,000$272,500 $215,500r8.3%36.9%-22.7%13.3%
Butte $264,000$294,250 $260,000r-10.3%1.5%-69.4%-56.3%
Calaveras$285,000$288,000 $258,750r-1.0%10.1%-29.0%42.0%
Del Norte$218,500$232,250 $157,000r-5.9%39.2%-12.5%-26.3%
El Dorado $414,250$434,500 $405,000r-4.7%2.3%-36.0%-2.8%
Humboldt$296,500$295,000 $247,800r0.5%19.7%-21.0%16.9%
Lake $215,000$210,000 $235,000r2.4%-8.5%-24.4%15.7%
Mariposa$272,450$227,000 $279,000r20.0%-2.3%-30.0%-6.7%
Mendocino$417,500$366,000 $355,000r14.1%17.6%-17.0%25.8%
Mono$526,750$528,500 $475,000 -0.3%10.9%-42.9%-27.3%
Nevada$366,500$355,000 $339,500r3.2%8.0%11.1%45.2%
Plumas$300,250$230,000 $342,000r30.5%-12.2%-26.7%15.8%
Shasta$233,375$235,750 $226,250r-1.0%3.1%-34.4%22.9%
Siskiyou $239,000$255,000 $195,000r-6.3%22.6%-12.9%-12.9%
Sutter$251,995$253,500 $213,700r-0.6%17.9%-30.6%-3.8%
Tehama$210,000$204,250 $190,000r2.8%10.5%-20.6%42.1%
Tuolumne$279,450$253,375 $210,000r10.3%33.1%-28.6%-12.3%
Yolo$380,000$405,000 $345,000r-6.2%10.1%-18.7%18.9%
Yuba$250,000$247,450 $210,000r1.0%19.0%-16.2%-9.5%
r = revised

January 2016 County Unsold Inventory and Time on Market(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
January-17Unsold Inventory IndexMedian Time on Market
State/Region/CountyJan-17Dec-16 Jan-16 Jan-17Dec-16 Jan-16 
CA SFH (SAAR)3.72.6 4.3 37.333.0 44.2r
CA Condo/Townhomes3.22.2 3.8 32.029.6 40.7 
Los Angeles Metro Area4.13.0 5.5r46.642.9 57.3 
Inland Empire4.63.6 5.0r49.846.7 61.9 
S.F. Bay Area2.51.5 1.9r23.826.7 28.1 
           
S.F. Bay Area          
Alameda2.01.2 2.0 24.121.9 22.5 
Contra Costa2.21.6 2.5 24.623.9 24.3 
Marin3.71.9 2.8 47.746.2 45.5 
Napa4.53.6 4.1 79.651.3 65.1 
San Francisco2.20.9 2.3 37.731.0 33.9 
San Mateo2.31.1 1.9 24.321.7 22.1 
Santa Clara2.21.2 1.9 23.723.3 23.6 
Solano2.92.1 3.4 58.348.6 50.0 
Sonoma3.42.5 3.2 56.350.1 65.6 
Southern California          
Los Angeles3.62.6 4.3 40.835.1 51.2 
Orange 4.02.6 4.1 50.347.2 64.2 
Riverside 5.13.8 6.3 52.147.2 64.5 
San Bernardino3.83.2 4.8 46.145.7 57.0 
San Diego3.62.6 4.3 27.426.6 27.0 
Ventura4.43.3 4.8 61.265.9 72.2 
Central Coast          
Monterey4.93.5 4.7 39.932.2 51.5 
San Luis Obispo4.13.4 5.1 40.336.6 43.4 
Santa Barbara5.64.0 4.9 52.432.5 51.4 
Santa Cruz2.52.4 2.8 32.231.0 38.6 
Central Valley          
Fresno4.43.0 5.1 27.527.4 32.0 
Glenn4.54.9 3.1 91.052.8 24.7 
Kern4.33.6 4.8 32.629.7 41.0 
Kings 3.22.8 6.1 28.125.2 31.0 
Madera5.84.1 7.8 49.154.2 78.4 
Merced3.83.1 4.7 39.129.1 55.5 
Placer 3.31.8 3.5 26.527.0 27.5 
Sacramento2.21.6 3.0 24.424.0 26.6 
San Benito4.83.7 2.4 42.631.0 35.5 
San Joaquin3.22.2 3.1 27.926.5 28.9 
Stanislaus3.42.4 3.7 28.226.8 31.5 
Tulare5.23.2 6.4 31.828.1 43.3 
Other Counties in California          
Amador4.93.9 6.3 82.875.5 91.0 
Butte 4.02.4 3.9 42.726.2 55.7 
Calaveras5.54.3 8.1 84.646.4 86.8 
Del Norte8.27.1 6.7 124.6110.3 122.5 
El Dorado 3.02.6 4.7 53.154.4 53.8 
Humboldt4.02.8 4.9 38.329.2 41.2 
Lake 5.53.9 6.8 55.791.0 82.3 
Mariposa3.83.1 6.1 48.4100.7 98.3 
Mendocino6.45.5 10.2 123.173.7 112.8 
Mono11.36.8 NA 130.7129.7 134.1 
Nevada3.64.1 6.0 45.526.0 61.0 
Plumas8.26.7 10.0 132.3128.3 132.8 
Shasta5.03.4 7.7 41.228.7 51.9 
Siskiyou 7.36.8 7.3 82.849.1 78.4 
Sutter3.32.1 4.1 27.929.2 27.9 
Tehama6.45.4 9.0 75.580.3 82.8 
Tuolumne5.54.3 5.1 65.152.8 98.3 
Yolo2.61.8 3.0 31.622.4 31.5 
Yuba3.12.8 3.2 32.023.9 29.5 
r = revised
NA = not available

Realtor in Thousand Oaks, Conejo Valley

I help people selling their homes get them sold quickly and almost always at 100% asking, even over in some markets. I save my real estate b...